What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Fiona Ma

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 50 Open interest 11.4K Event California Lieutenant Governor winner?

92%

implied YES probability

Last 41 days · High 96% · Low 52% · 7d +1.8pp · 30d +65.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.