What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Scott Wiener

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 9.6K Event CA-11 primary: first place

100%

implied YES probability

Last 46 days · High 99% · Low 75% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +22.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.