What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Carin Elam

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 426 Open interest 426 Event CA-14 primary: first place

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 8% · Low 8%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.