kalshi
Elections
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
Yes
30%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 34% ·
Low 20%
· 7d -9.4pp
· 30d +11.5pp
Recent news mentioning this market
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Oil Falls Below $80 For First Time in More Than Three Months
Bloomberg Markets · 8h ago
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Australia’s ASX proposes 25% cap on share issuance in public M&A without shareholder vote
Investing.com · 1h ago
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OpenAI burned $3.7 billion in first quarter of 2026- The Information
Investing.com · 3h ago
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OpenAI burned $3.7 billion in first quarter of 2026, The Information reports
Investing.com · 3h ago
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Horizon Bancorp announces $0.16 dividend per share, payable July 17
Investing.com · 4h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.0¢ | 16059 | 25.0¢ | 3000 | |
| 22.0¢ | 7459 | 26.0¢ | 2451 | |
| 21.0¢ | 6010 | 27.0¢ | 2103 | |
| 20.0¢ | 3065 | 28.0¢ | 2110 | |
| 19.0¢ | 3369 | 29.0¢ | 2417 |
Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 24.0¢
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