What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 13, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Conservative Party

Closes Aug 13, 2027 (399d) 24h volume 1.6K Open interest 1.6K Event Clacton by-election: 2nd place

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.