What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Iowa

Closes Jan 20, 2027 (194d) 24h volume 124 Open interest 5.0K Event Closest Governor race in 2026?

16%

implied YES probability

Last 25 days · High 19% · Low 11% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.