What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Before July

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 542 Open interest 8.3K Event One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech?

4%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 75 days · High 65% · Low 4% · 7d +33.3pp · 30d -50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.