What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 12, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democratic Party

Closes Aug 12, 2027 (398d) 24h volume 75 Open interest 20 Event Cook Islands general election winner?

38%

implied YES probability

+37.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.