What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above $340

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 201 Open interest 119 Event Creed Aventus: Price in 2026

36%

implied YES probability

+16.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 5% · Low 5%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.