What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Atomic Alchemy

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (44d) 24h volume 37 Open interest 14.5K Event Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

57%

implied YES probability

Last 60 days · High 88% · Low 50% · 7d +16.0pp · 30d -10.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.