What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Kenyan McDuffie

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 10.1K Open interest 31.6K Event Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?

implied YES probability

-14.2pp 24h

Last 68 days · High 55% · Low 2% · 7d -91.7pp · 30d -94.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.