What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gavin Newsom

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (874d) 24h volume 86 Open interest 4.6K Event Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

32%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 42 days · High 52% · Low 20% · 7d -6.7pp · 30d +27.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.