What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2040. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Deel

Closes Jan 01, 2040 (4946d) 24h volume 7 Open interest 994 Event Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?

60%

implied YES probability

Last 13 days · High 80% · Low 60% · 7d -18.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.