What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 58%, implying a 58% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Tariff

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (194d) 24h volume 24 Open interest 24 Event What will FedEx say during their next earnings call?

58%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 41% · Low 41%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.