What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Inflation

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 641 Event What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

76%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 90% · Low 75%

PGR Progressive Corporation

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.