What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 55%, implying a 55% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $22 billion

Closes Aug 28, 2026 (72d) 24h volume 46 Open interest 1.4K Event eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2

55%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 63% · Low 50% · 7d -15.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.