What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above $90 billion

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (652d) 24h volume — Open interest 56 Event eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

18%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 23% · Low 16%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.