What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Steve Carell

Closes Sep 14, 2027 (431d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 1.3K Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 24% · Low 1% · 7d -85.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.