What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Noah Wyle

Closes Sep 14, 2027 (431d) 24h volume 305 Open interest 1.2K Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

92%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 96% · Low 71% · 7d +15.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.