What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Carlos-Manuel Vesga

Closes Sep 14, 2027 (431d) 24h volume 785 Open interest 1.1K Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

10%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 5% · Low 2%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.