What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Sarah Pidgeon win Movie/Limited Actress at the Emmy Awards?

Sarah Pidgeon

Closes Sep 14, 2027 (454d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 1.7K Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

42%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 10 days · High 49% · Low 32% · 7d +24.3pp

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.