What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 14, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Half Man

Closes Sep 14, 2027 (454d) 24h volume 49 Open interest 1.8K Event Emmy winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series

18%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 26% · Low 13% · 7d -13.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.