What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Ethan Hawke

Closes Jul 08, 2027 (386d) 24h volume 332 Open interest 214 Event Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

20%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 25% · Low 6%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.