What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

The Diplomat

Closes Jul 08, 2027 (386d) 24h volume 37 Open interest 59 Event Emmy nominees: Outstanding Drama Series

96%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 99% · Low 95%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.