What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Will Tom Hollander be on the list of nominees for Movie/Limited Supporting Actor at the 78th Emmy Awards?

Tom Hollander

Closes Jul 08, 2027 (386d) 24h volume 105 Open interest 105 Event Emmy nominees: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

14%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 2 days · High 49% · Low 13%

Other outcomes in this event

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