What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 16, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Jalen Brunson

Closes Jul 16, 2027 (371d) 24h volume 225 Open interest 1.2K Event 2026 ESPYS: Best Athlete, Men's Sports

62%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 81% · Low 38% · 7d -22.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.