What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 16, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Golden Goal for Gold! (Men's)

Closes Jul 16, 2027 (371d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 26.8K Event 2026 ESPYS: Best Play

4%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 30% · Low 1% · 7d -86.7pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.