What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 22, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

George Russell

Closes Dec 22, 2026 (188d) 24h volume 7.0K Open interest 421.7K Event F1 Drivers Champion

16%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 59% · Low 14% · 7d +13.3pp · 30d -43.3pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 17.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.