What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Aug 31, 2026

Closes Aug 31, 2026 (52d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 1.3K Event Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 12% · Low 8%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.