What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

A new Fallout video game (standalone title; excludes DLCs, expansions, remasters, re-releases, and mobile-only titles)

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 654 Open interest 42.0K Event Will Bethesda release a new Fallout game before July?

implied YES probability

Last 85 days · High 7% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.