What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Justin Bieber

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 18 Open interest 49 Event Who will be featured on Ariana Grande's album petal?

implied YES probability

-14.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 78% · Low 5%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.