What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0

Closes Jun 17, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 117 Open interest 1.8K Event June 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

4%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 7% · Low 1% · 7d +600.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.