What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Stephen Miran

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 898 Open interest 45.4K Event Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

40%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 71% · Low 20% · 7d +21.7pp · 30d -56.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.