What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Projection

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 218 Open interest 5.5K Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

96%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 97% · Low 84% · 7d -2.1pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.