What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out

Closes Jul 05, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 7 Event What will the announcers say during Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov UFC Fight

78%

implied YES probability

+29.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 82% · Low 36%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.