What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Will Fausto be the first named hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?

Fausto

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume 91 Open interest 1.3K Event What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

12%

implied YES probability

-22.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 5 days · High 53% · Low 1%

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.