What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 37%, implying a 37% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jim Schwartzel

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (116d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 2.2K Event FL-19 Republican nominee?

37%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 26 days · High 91% · Low 11% · 7d +12.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.