What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 95%, implying a 95% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Randy Fine

Closes Aug 18, 2027 (427d) 24h volume 127 Open interest 17.6K Event FL-06 Republican nominee?

95%

implied YES probability

Last 37 days · High 97% · Low 72% · 7d +1.1pp · 30d +8.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.