What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Oliver Larkin

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 130 Open interest 33.1K Event FL-23 Democratic nominee?

implied YES probability

+2.1pp 24h

Last 58 days · High 46% · Low 0% · 7d -22.2pp · 30d -65.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.