What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above $100

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 63 Open interest 64 Event Jean Paul Gaultier Le Male Elixir: Price in 2026

92%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 93% · Low 90%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.