What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 227 Open interest 848 Event Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?

74%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 76% · Low 68%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.