What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 79%, implying a 79% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

above $4114

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 7.4K Open interest 2.3K Event Gold price on July 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

79%

implied YES probability

+56.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 17% · Low 17%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.