What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

above $4391.99

Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume — Open interest 230 Event Gold price on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

12%

implied YES probability

Last 3 days · High 24% · Low 16%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.