What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

above $4403.99

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 780 Event Gold price on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

40%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 48% · Low 22% · 7d -9.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.