What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Matthew Claman

Closes Aug 18, 2027 (404d) 24h volume 140 Open interest 5.4K Event Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?

implied YES probability

Last 33 days · High 41% · Low 3% · 7d -91.0pp · 30d -90.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.