What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Closes Jul 02, 2026 (15d) 24h volume 307 Open interest 317 Event What will the candidates say during the Arizona Governor Debate?

50%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 64% · Low 55%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.