What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Michael Minogue

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 25 Open interest 8.0K Event Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

90%

implied YES probability

-6.6pp 24h

Last 36 days · High 95% · Low 49% · 7d -1.1pp · 30d +58.2pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.