What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 25%, implying a 25% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Shenna Bellows

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 5.9K Open interest 65.9K Event Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

25%

implied YES probability

Last 34 days · High 25% · Low 0% · 7d +1100.0pp · 30d +258.2pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 24.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.