What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gentner Drummond

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 55.6K Open interest 92.3K Event Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

20%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 81 days · High 57% · Low 9% · 7d +84.6pp · 30d -48.9pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 19.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.