What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 45%, implying a 45% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (106d) 24h volume 277 Open interest 2.5K Event When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

45%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 32 days · High 81% · Low 48% · 7d -18.3pp · 30d -39.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.